Gartner’s Software Hype Cycles for 2012
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In a series of reports, Gartner has evaluated the maturity, adoption and future direction of more than 1,900 technologies and trends for 2012. The technologies are viewed from the perspective of the hype cycle consisting of the following five phases: Technology Trigger, Peak of Inflated Expectations, Trough of Disillusionment, Slope of Enlightenment, and Plateau of Productivity.
The Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle 2012 contains a number of new technologies which have entered the stage, including Big Data, Internet of Things, and In-Memory Computing, while others are at the peak, such as HTML5, Hybrid Cloud Computing, Social Analytics:
The following table summarized some of the software-related technologies analyzed by Gartner and presented in a number of reports including Hype Cycle for Enterprise Architecture, 2012,Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2012, Hype Cycle for Application Architecture, 2012,Hype Cycle for Application Development, 2012, Hype Cycle for Web Computing, 2012, Hype Cycle for In-Memory Computing Technology, 2012, and Hype Cycle for Big Data, 2012.
On the Rise
|
Application Release Automation
Application Service Governance
Big Data Impact on EA
Cloud Computing's Impact on EA
Cloud-Enabled Application Platforms (CEAPs)
Cloud-Optimized Application Design
Context Delivery Architecture
DevOps
EA Governance
Enterprise Solution Architecture
Enterprise-Class Agile Development
|
HTTP 2.0
In-Memory DBMS for OLTP
Internet of Things
IT/OT Impact on EA
Java Enterprise Edition Version 7
Mobile Impact on EA
Portal PaaS
Public Web APIs
Social Media Strategic Impact on EA
Web Real-Time Communications
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| At the Peak |
Analytical In-memory DBMS
Big Data
BYOD
Cloud BPM
Cloud Parallel Processing
Crowdsourcing
Database Platform as a Service (dbPaaS)
Distributed Versioning
EA Certification
Elastic Multitenancy
Enterprise Business Architecture
Enterprise Information Architecture
Functional Programming Languages
|
HTML5
Hybrid Cloud Computing
In-Memory Database Management Systems
Mobile Web Applications
NoSQL Database Management Systems
Object Relational Mapping for .NET
Platform as a Service
Private Cloud Computing
Semantic Web
SOA Testing
Social Analytics
Social Content
|
| Sliding Into the Trough |
Cloud Computing
Cloud/Web Platforms
Continuous Integration
Database Software as a Service (dbSaaS)
EA Frameworks
Enterprise Mashups
Federated SOA
Hosted Virtual Desktops
Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS)
|
In-Memory Analytics
In-Memory Data Grids
MapReduce and Alternatives
Model Driven Architectures
NFC
Representational State Transfer
Web 3.0
Web-Oriented Architecture
|
| Climbing the Slope |
Composite Applications
Consumer Web Mashups
Consumerization
EA Assurance
Enterprise Architecture
|
Enterprise Architecture Tools
Enterprise Technology Architecture
Event-Driven Architecture
Web Widgets
|
| Entering the Plateau |
B2B Web Services
Column-Store DBMS
Mobile Application Development Platforms
Predictive Analytics
|
Second-Generation Portlet Standards (JSR 286 and WSRP v.2)
Service-Oriented Architecture
Web Analytics
|
The hype cycles help evaluating various technologies, to see their maturity and suitability for investment. If a technology has just started and it is on the rise, then it may be useful to start integrating it in the technology planning process, or maybe start building on it to have a head start against competitors, but the latest approach involves high risk due to technology’s immaturity. Technologies at the peak or sliding into the trough of disillusionment get a lot of press coverage but they are not necessarily technologies that will survive or thrive in the following years. Technologies found climbing the slope and entering the plateau are considered by Gartner as mature and stable, suitable for investment.
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